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The Digital Driving Age: A Bumpy Road Ahead?

Key Challenges to Adopting the Next Generation of Driving Technology

Hardly a week goes by without a new exciting announcement in the world of driving technology. However, having worked over the last 12-18 months to explore the future of mobility with major technology firms, leading European car manufacturers and government transport ministries, I have come to the conclusion that we have many significant challenges ahead.

Challenge 1: Who’s in the driving seat?

Autonomous cars are “the future”, so we are told. The number of autonomous vehicles (AVs) on the roads of California has doubled in the last 2 years, as traditional and non-traditional manufacturers alike, race to test and bring into the mainstream their self-driving cars. 27 companies are now licenced to test their prototypes on California’s roads (including Uber, who have also somewhat belated applied for permission!). Up to 180 vehicles are being tested at any one time, 77 of those belong to Alphabet’s Waymo alone.

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Digital vs Human – Dystopia or Myopia?

I have just digital vs humanfinished re-reading Richard Watson’s latest book, Digital vs. Human, how we’ll live, love and think in the future. I should declare my interests here. I know (and even like!) Richard. We sometimes partner and work together, hence “re-read”, as I had a chance to proof a number of the draft chapters of this book last year. However, as so often is the case, it was much more insightful and satisfying to read the complete (paperback) book from cover-to-cover, rather than just dipping into disaggregated digital sections.

Richard’s basic premise is that human-kind is unwittingly being sucked into a future dominated by digital technology, where our very humanity is being drained from us in return for a soulless, lonely existence, increasingly bereft of human contact and real emotions. To illustrate this, he starts with the shocking story of a Korean couple back in 2010, who let their own infant daughter starve to death as they obsessed over caring for a baby avatar in an online virtual world. Strong stuff.

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Foresight Déjà Vu?

I was kindly invited to the launch of a new “global initiative” on Friday afternoon at the Finsbury Square offices of Grant Thornton, in London. Led by Patricia Lustig, “Unlocking Foresight”  is a new Community Interest Company (CIC or social enterprise), with the lofty aim to unlock the potential of strategic foresight for the benefit of business, government and society.

As I looked around the room at the 30 or so folks who had gathered for the launch, I was struck by a very strong sense of déjà vu . Not only were there a significant number of very familiar faces, but I couldn’t help but hark back to another initiative I was involved with, albeit nearly 15 years ago.

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Growth vs. stagnation: What does our future hold?

With global debt increasing, whither economic growth?

In a timely (but I suspect unintentional) nod to the challenges currently faced by the Greek economy, a recent report from the McKinsey Global Institute has raised serious questions about the global economy’s ability to build a sustainable future. Not only has government debt grown in absolute terms (and relative to GDP) but so has corporate and household debt in many of the 47 countries included in the study. As the graphic below illustrates, in 2014 total global outstanding debt stood at $199tn, equivalent to 286% of global GDP, an astonishing $57tn increase from 2007. This has occurred at time of supposed austerity and fiscal responsibility in the aftermath of the financial crisis.

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